🚨🚨 Jerome Powell – Part 1

Trade Shock Incoming: The Fed’s Balancing Act Under Fire
May 7, 2025 — In today’s highly anticipated Fed briefing, Chair Jerome Powell laid out a cautious, pressure-filled roadmap for the U.S. economy.
The message? The Fed is holding the line — but the foundations are starting to shake. ⚖️⚡
Key signals from Powell’s press conference:
✅ The U.S. economy is growing steadily
⚠️ Inflation is down, but still exceeds the 2% target
💼 The labor market is stable, but not overheating
💰 Wage growth remains moderate
😟 Consumer sentiment has dropped significantly
📈 Short-term inflation expectations are ticking upward
🌍 Import fluctuations are muddying GDP readings
📉 The Q1 GDP slowdown is linked to shifting trade policy
And then came the warning shot: 🚨
Powell confirmed that the Trump administration’s tariff escalation is reshaping macro conditions. Tariffs are now far higher than expected. If this holds:
🔥 Inflation could reignite
📉 Unemployment could spike
⚔️ The Fed may face mission conflict between price stability and employment
He concluded with a reminder: the Fed remains “well-positioned” — but ready to adjust policy fast if the data demands it. ⏩📊
Meanwhile, markets are pricing in 3 rate cuts by year-end, with the first potentially in July. Powell didn’t confirm — but didn’t deny, either.
A dangerous gap is forming between investor optimism and institutional caution. ⚠️📉
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