The actual operating model of the Bitcoin (BTC) market may differ significantly from the perception of ordinary investors. In fact, the price movement of BTC is primarily influenced by a small number of large holders, institutional investors, and trading platforms. These market giants possess sufficient financial strength and market influence to drive prices up or down according to their own will.

They can manipulate the market through various means, including making large transfers between different accounts they control, while using various channels to influence market sentiment. When they decide to profit from the market, they often observe which direction investors are more vulnerable, and then adopt corresponding strategies to 'harvest'.

In this environment, the claims of ordinary investors being able to accurately predict BTC price movement are clearly lacking credibility. In fact, such predictions are no different from a game of rock-paper-scissors—if your opponent knows your choice, you are almost certain to lose.

Therefore, for cryptocurrency investors, it is crucial to understand the complexity and unpredictability of the market. Instead of trying to predict short-term price fluctuations, it is better to focus on the long-term development prospects of the projects and the technological advancements of the entire industry. At the same time, maintaining a cautious and rational investment attitude, and avoiding blind trust in others' market predictions, is the wise choice in this highly volatile market.