The following is a low-risk strategy analysis for the ETH/USDT Perptual Futures 15-minute chart based on the screenshot information (data time: 2025-07-23 22:15):

Key Levels and Signals
Price Structure

Current K-line: 3612.80 (increase of 0.71%), failed to break through the previous high of 3615.34, clear short-term resistance.

Strong support zone: 3500.00 (multiple buy signals appeared), forming a double support with the daily low of 3587.41.

Bull-bear boundary: 3600.00 (psychological level), once stabilized, it is expected to test 3798.58 (high-level buy mark).

MACD Indicator

DIF(20.65) > DEA(15.29), but the MACD histogram has decreased to -10.72, suggesting that the upward momentum is weakening, and there may be a short-term correction.

Volume Verification

The current trading volume (95,008,9950) is below the 5-day average volume (217,912,0320), and the divergence between volume and price requires caution against false breakouts.

Low-risk high-return strategy
Entry Timing

Long opportunity: If the price retraces to the support area of 3500-3520 (with decreasing volume), you can build positions in batches, setting the stop loss below 3480 (exit if it breaks this level).

Breakthrough to go long: If it can hold above the previous high of 3615.34 with increased volume, enter with a light position when it pulls back to 3600 without breaking, target 3798.

Short Hedge

If the price stagnates around 3615 and the MACD bars continue to contract, you can short to 3580 with a stop loss at 3630.

Profit and Loss Ratio Optimization

Long Position: Entry at 3500 → Target at 3798 (≈300 points), Stop Loss 30 points, Risk-Reward Ratio 10:1.

Strict stop-loss: Control the risk of a single transaction within 2% of the principal.

Key Risk Control Tips
Avoid chasing highs: Currently approaching the recent high with insufficient volume, the risk-reward ratio for chasing long positions above 3610 is poor.

Pay attention to MACD: if DIF crosses below DEA forming a death cross, it is necessary to promptly reduce long positions.

Volume Confirmation: A breakout above the previous high must be accompanied by trading volume > 150 million; otherwise, it is considered a false breakout.

Strategy Summary: Focus on the core dip-buying zone of 3500-3520, with clear stop-loss and superior risk-reward ratio; a strict verification of trading volume is required for breakthroughs above previous highs, otherwise remain cautious. Current volatility is 0.78%, operate with light positions to avoid overnight risks. #KOL星火计划破千# #稳定币监管风暴#