#美联储利率决议# It seems that the probability of the Fed keeping the Interest Rate unchanged in July is as high as 97.4%, and this probability is indeed substantial. However, I will not let my guard down, as the market is always full of uncertainties. In the coming week, there will be a series of important data releases including GDP, employment reports, and inflation indicators. Although the general expectation is to hold steady, these data could significantly influence future policy directions.

My current strategy is to remain cautiously observant and closely monitor the performance of this data. In particular, the annualized GDP growth rate for the second quarter is expected to reach 2.4%, showing a significant improvement compared to the first quarter, but mainly benefiting from a narrowing trade deficit. We still need to see if domestic demand really strengthens. The non-farm payroll data is also worth noting; if job additions slow down and the unemployment rate slightly rises, it could indicate that corporate hiring is becoming more conservative.

For copy trading, I recommend keeping a relatively low position for now and adjusting the strategy based on market reactions after the data is released. After all, practice makes perfect; relying solely on expectations won't get you far in this market. That said, this uncertain situation actually provides us with the space to look for potential arbitrage opportunities, and it all comes down to who can interpret the meaning behind the data more accurately.