The recent market situation is very uncomfortable. Ordinary people really can't stand it. It's even more difficult to play than the previous few months. At least in the previous few months, the altcoin price was low when BTC was at a low level. Now, it's high-altcoin, but it's been falling here all the time. Many falls have no technical reasons at all. I really don't know what mysterious force is pressing on Ether. I also don't know what these altcoin dealers are thinking. Their Build a Position cost is clearly there, so why fall below their own cost? Just formed a trend at the hourly level, and a single move can directly destroy the trend at the 4-hour level. I really don't know why each one is so fragile. There should still be things that should be there. After the altcoin dealers have received the goods, the volume is there, and then it allows such a fall. No matter how much pumping can be done, it can fall in one move. I really don't know what the point is of being a dealer. If you don't make money, why be a dealer? 90300 is the position of the contract liquidation map that was known in advance. It arrived at this position first, and then it went up to over 91,000. I know it has to come down again. And then it came down and went up again, and then came down again. Directly insert 89200, and then v reverse up. Ether directly doesn't care about 2910. In the subsequent smaller time frame, there is a double probe, and at the 4-hour level, there is another double probe. From a large structural perspective, 74000 is a position left for future manipulation. It will take a few months to get there. Now BTC and ETH are trading. Technical analysis is not very useful. Just look at the contract liquidation map. Go to whichever side can make money. The current position of BTC is not necessarily very high. Whether the position is high or not is determined by the cost of the Market Maker and the public. And recently, there really isn't a good reason for a rise on a macro level. For Spot, a spot was unreasonably pushed down by BTC. Then a person loses money and sells. That's a real loss. Losing money controlled by others' capital. We choose to play in the b circle because of the elasticity and speed here. But recently, if the AltCoin rises in the morning, it's the Upper Shadow of the daily chart. After rising in the morning for a couple of hours, it falls in the afternoon. As long as BTC is not seriously pumping at night, it can't recover the fall in the afternoon. When we are fighting against small dealers, there is a particularly effective method now, which is to go in the opposite direction when they are about to form a golden cross. When they are about to form a death cross, you also go in the opposite direction. Going in the opposite direction will definitely be right. For an ordinary retail investor who can't stare at the market all the time, buy at a relatively low position. Then just wait for the cycle. As long as it's not obviously at a high level, and then chase after it, don't bring this kind of emotion when buying. When you buy at the time of the fall, and can't withstand the trap, actually, this price is very low. I'm not afraid of traps. And now, what are the conditions for the recent altcoin to give a decent rise? It's the structure confirmation of the BTC-ETH market data that it won't fall again, and then the beginning of the rise in the first few hours, which is a starting point for the rise. Then when to go? First look at BTC, and at that time, what is its highest expected level within the day? What is the expectation for BTC at that time? Rise for a few hours at the hourly level. It still needs to go down. And then at the same time, see if other altcoins are overbought at the hourly level. If these 2 points are met, you can go out. There will be another round of a super large altcoin main trend in the future. It will last for several days. At that time, you can double the position size by a few tens of percent in one day, and then continuously double the position size.

Then the price of BTC, 74000 is something that can only be reached in the next few months. It can only be reached when others have made money and want to settle. If it can't reach 74000, then it is the 80,000 mark. It's not easy to reach 80,000 either because falling too early is meaningless. 84000, 87000, these are the bottom fishing opportunities. In fact, if it falls to 84000 today, altcoin won't fall much. What we fear is that it will take many days to reach Bao'an Temple, which is the least favorable for altcoin. Altcoin is not afraid of BTC falling, nor is it afraid of BTC falling too fast. It is afraid of BTC continuously grinding down. Every day it grinds, its price becomes lower. That's the only thing altcoin is afraid of. And during this period, the price of altcoin has already reached the price of over 50,000 BTC. It's actually about the price during the bear market two or three years ago. Don't be trembling at the bottom. Altcoin washes out weak hands, kills panic selling, clears long positions, and allows market makers to pick up cheap chips. As we go along, it will start to pump. It rises on a small scale and then falls again. It feels like the rise is a kind of charity. And it's mercilessly extinguished. It's all an illusion. As long as people have money in their hands, they want to buy coins as soon as they open the app. Whether altcoin is at the bottom, in the middle, or at the top. If you don't have coins in your hand, you want to buy coins. Even if you are at a high position, a high position has its own emotions. This bull market is not pleasant. Altcoin dealers haven't made enough money. Retail investors haven't made enough money either. Only the Market Makers of BTCETH contracts have made enough money, and they can play however they want. The Market Makers of second-tier mainstream coins haven't made enough money either, they don't have much leverage at all. From the lowest point to the highest point, it's only two or three times, and from the lowest point to now it's probably less than two times. When it shouldn't pump, it really won't pump. Because if it pumps, retail investors will make money. When it's allowed to pump, it will definitely pump well. Pumping out multiple returns. Pumping until the profit is satisfactory. Then sell the goods. These are all inevitable events. Don't be too afraid to play this game. There will always be a limit to the fall. Overall, don't chase highs, dare to buy during the fall, and hold on a little. This market won't suffocate you too much. Let's say a major wildfire broke out in one of our provinces. And those who play our cancer stocks won't always think that there's a fire and then rise, they will think about the possibility of a fall and take measures to hedge. After entering the bear market, we also need to think of ways to make money in it.