US August EIA WTI crude oil one-year forward average price expectation

Good morning ☀ Iron powder check-in 👍 thumbs up and make a fortune 🍗🍗🌹🌹 ☆ ☆ From this week, Federal Reserve officials will enter a quiet period before the interest rate meeting. Last Friday, the U.S. will release non-farm payroll data and unemployment rate for May. The previously released non-farm payroll and unemployment rate have shown signs of weakness. Let's see if they continue to be weak this week to facilitate a smooth rate cut. Previously, Powell publicly stated that unexpected deterioration in the labor force would accelerate the Fed's rate cut. In other aspects, the European Central Bank will announce its interest rate decision on Thursday. The frequent warm breeze of rate cuts before raises our key concern about whether it will lower interest rates by 25 basis points. Currently, the market expects the European Central Bank to cut interest rates with high probability, waiting for the first cut to come. Once the European Central Bank starts the rate cut cycle, the pressure will shift to the Fed as the euro and the dollar are in an adversarial relationship. The European Central Bank is expected to cut rates in June (high probability), and the Fed is expected to cut rates in September (high probability). The later the timing, the more optimistic the market becomes. It seems that the turning point for the start of the monetary easing cycle is about to appear, with the rate cut cycle, ample liquidity, and continued support for the bull market, the market is very optimistic. ☆ ☆ Bitcoin oscillated and rose above the 68000 level in the morning, sequentially breaking through 68500-69200. It reached a high near 70300 by breaking through the 70000 level last night, but fell back under the pressure of 70500. After the rise, it pulled back to around 68500. The weekend's oscillation correction also showed results in Monday's trading. The price continued last week's upward trend and broke through the high, but the pace was not too fast. The strong intraday rise not only consolidated the short-term bullish trend, but also led to the breakthrough and stabilization of the resistance level adjusted last week on the daily chart. The evening pullback did not have a significant impact on the bullish trend. There is no continuous rise without a fall. All pullbacks can be seen as corrections. We still have confidence in the bullish trend. ☆ ☆ Ethereum surged to a high of 3854 in the evening, but pulled back under pressure from the 3880-3920 resistance zone. Compared to Bitcoin, Ethereum has a smaller overall volatility. Due to the rapid rise in the previous period, it is currently in a phase of consolidation and correction. From the 4-hour technical indicators, the KDJ indicator has turned upward, while the MACD indicator is in a bearish contraction phase. The BOLL indicator is closely following the price in the middle band zone. At the same time, after the short-term MA moving average completes its adjustment, the price has stabilized above the MA three-day moving averages. In the future, attention should be paid to the bottom stabilization around 3720-3750 and the continuation of the bullish trend!

Good morning ☀ Iron fans check in 👍 like to make a fortune 🍗🍗🌹🌹 ☆ ☆ The time has come to the third quarter of 2024, which is the first day of July 2024. In the second half of 2024, Bitcoin started with a breakthrough of $63,000. The biggest factor affecting the market trend in July is the Black Swan Event in Mentougou, as well as the question of whether the Fed will cut interest rates. On the positive side, the approval of the listing time for Ethereum is approaching, so Ethereum and its associated coins will be the hot spots for market speculation. The hot spot for AI track is erupting, and there is also the expected start of the application for Sol Spot ETF. Overall, the cryptocurrency market in July will still be a sensitive month influenced by news. There will be ups and downs in the trend, but the opportunities will be greater than in June. In terms of operation, it is still important to pay attention to the changes in the news! ☆ ☆ Bitcoin broke through the weekend's oscillation range and rose again in the morning. It is currently running near the 62900 level, and the bullish sentiment has slightly warmed up. On the hourly chart, after the market rises and breaks through the high, it will enter a small retracement and consolidation phase. Therefore, today's market is very likely to follow the previous pattern, after breaking through the high, it will inevitably need to retrace and consolidate to gather strength for further upward movement. Looking at the 4-hour chart, the market is in a step-like oscillating upward trend, with the Bollinger Bands in a parallel and open state, the MA three lines are running upward, forming an upward Bollinger channel. The current coin price is running near the middle-upper rail. The MACD lines and KDJ three lines are diverging upward. Overall, the bullish sentiment is dominant, and it is still advisable to maintain a bullish view. ☆ ☆ After a retreat from the 3355 line, Ethereum oscillated and rebounded slowly. In the early morning, it rose to around 3460, and is currently undergoing short-term adjustment and correction. The support at 3420 is pushing the bottom up, and there is still a possibility of testing the range of 3520-3650. Looking at the four small timeframes, the market is showing a stable low-level consolidation trend. For the current short-term trend, in order to achieve a breakthrough and rise, it must first go through a period of oscillation and consolidation to expand the subsequent space. The market does not rise in a straight line, but gradually advances according to the market trend, first oscillating, then consolidating, then short-term retracement, and finally rising again, forming a healthy trend cycle. The current market oscillation is the short-term adjustment stage after the last rise, a natural process of exchanging time for space!

The most striking characteristic of the bull market is: the sharp fall, even if it is bearish, the market can quickly digest the bearishness, and even the bearish solution, under the game of multiple factors, it will form a bullish every day in the upper stream, but the 涨幅多有few,有时候大涨天,然後小涨几天. 该过程会形成很多获利盘,而大多数投资者实际上没有坚定的牛市思维,just 想着投机一把,涨到什么时候见顶就跑,于是当某日stock market suddenly falling 後没有拉起来,就会诱发海量的投机者和牛市怀doubt者一起售stocks,从出现暴跌走势。 After the big fall, it was quickly expected, and then it returned to the previous mode of doubt, game and gold pushing, re-shaken the upper stream, and once again made a new high, until the next time out of the 现筹码松动, once again out of the sharp fall, reverse repeatedly. ☆ ☆ Shanzhai 大部分板块一大爆发的情况并没有出现,为什么,溢出资金太太太,and 价格也并没有站稳前高,长期hold者只是刚刚有点幅在售hands BTC,there are a lot left. 就需要近期这个月,btc至少要站稳69000 and 及以上,在4、5、even 6月,快速实现大幅升到8万,9万甚至更高,长期持有者出货,才能实现。 所以结合目前所有的包括宏观面、基本面、链上数据、消息面情况,大家觉得未来三个月btc能实现吗?盘点这轮上涨创出历史新高币,TRB、OKB、INJ、PENDLE、FET、STX、AGIX,还有is BONK、ORDI、SATS,TAO、MOBILE,HONEY,TIA、SEI,i.e. 将创历史新高RNDR。 DEFI, AI, BRC20, DEFI is an old concept, it is impossible to become a core blaze, but the second bull market also has a small number of harms, AI, BRC20 as a new concept, the maximum of the new high, the third bull market, so out of the very bull's 更少less, currently TIA为首的模块化公链比较热,新热点DePin、 RWA,也会出现很多牛币,主要在这两年及之后出现的新币,meme币,主要指动物币,BONK,PEPE,RATS 是新的代表,但也只有个别新me厉害了。 There are many meme texts that are also meme paradigms, such as RATS, MEME's ultra-low market capitalization and ultra-low fortune gods, in the second bull market, mainly with the new concept of the big gluttony. 传统市场, AI 作为新bull market 新热点, 涨幅 is the largest, DePin, RWA, 模块化, and there are also many very cattle. 小资金想有暴富机会,铭文是也重点Note!Last bull market,动物币那都是万倍计算,最大主流热点DEFI 和metaverse,也出现几个千倍币。 Ultra-low market capitalization + new things = rich genes! ☆ ☆ 昨日到此刻围绕68000点位上方缩量整理,呈现了及其浓厚的等待观望情绪,从当前技术面来看,出现了长长的上影线,接下来可能会面临一波调整,这非常健康一种走法,希望调整时间能够长一些;走势仍处在高位振荡阶段,尚未形成有效的breakthrough。 白盘走势出现了一些回踩试探支撑的需求,这可能预示着接下来可能会有更多的调整动作。 从日线级别来看,哆头虽然保持强势,但上涨动力已经显得有點疲倦。 如果能够成功收在MA 7的上方,那么市场继续上攻的可能性将会增加。 相反,如果未能实现这一目标,那么大饼的走势可能会继续在高位进行振荡整理,多次筑底后,才能可能选择突破,大饼yesterday in 68,500 Earthquake One Day Later Short Again Insert Up, but 没有放量幅度并不大,整体形态又在构筑一个4个小时周期的三重顶,日内关注回撤67500-67800回撤接多,目标69500-69800-70500! ☆ ☆ 以太坊价格接近4000关口,整个板块走势并未有所表现,反而呈现出萎靡不振的态势,可能预示着即将出现的行情,而一线解千愁的走势可能是其中的关键。 已经形成了一种循环的态势,这是一个良性上升的态势,目前还没有信号打破这种格局。 随着连续不间断的拉升,盘面价格确实已经陷入修正的阶段,虽然进入修正的阶段,但也是处于高位振荡横盘,昨日突破4000位置后多头缩量,价格once fell back down 3950 below。 MACD 指标在100附近形成死叉但空头并未有过多放量macd指标来看红色空头量柱缩量,双线于零轴线上方拐头向上趋势上目前4小时级别 EMA 运行得很顺畅,暂时没有出现拐点价格,只有跌破 3850才可能进一步向下测试,短线支撑范围关注 3700-3730,如果回濙个范围能够形成振荡,後续行情still looking at 涨,Retracement 3880-3920区间接多,目标3950-3980!

大饼yesterday with slow 涨形态拉升, in the early morning the highest pulled to around 68100, but each section of the pull-up are accompanied by 随着小的回tramp,整体波动处于区间内运行,并没有强势突破的迹象,目前币价在67000修复运行。 技术结构依旧还是还是处于一个缓慢的收复状态,下探确定了支撑后那么后续是反弹了,下探确定了支撑后那么后续是反弹了,,下探确定了支撑后那么后续是反弹了,而陵晨是把握了这个点go 跟进,日线在多头发力后目前已经滞涨,停滞点是我们常说的整理趋势,短期走势反复多空博弈没有延续,下方关注66300附近跌破的话还会试探65600支撑,日线级别行情回stepped to ma7后反弹,多头走势未was broken,日内开线向上走出上影,预计白盘会回踩确认支撑情况,整体仍处于高位振荡,长期仍然看突破新高高振荡,长期仍然看突破新高高振荡,长期仍然看突破新高高, the idea of yesterday was the same high altitude and low waiting, the upper 67600-68400, the lower support 66300-65600 ☆ ☆ At present, the ether is in the 3900-3770 区间内宽amp shock, and in the early morning the ether once again broke through the new high to around 3950, and the whole 体上验证 yesterday's analysis. Before also mentioning 过如果站稳3900,then 么周势必会冲击4000。 四小时级别行情虽breakthrough new high but the amount of energy has not followed, forming a wave of retracement, below the note 3865 near the branch, fell below the talent 会延续, the recent market is in the upper echelon, the breakthrough is accompanied by a fall but the empty is not large, don't want to guess, 2024 less to go short, 519 312那种出现的probability is not large,目前以太方走势已经强于大饼,plus 消息面麵 speculation后市一定会walk burst 发,低位筹码建议长期持有,思路以低吸为主,上压制3970-4030,下支撑3865-3800,MA均线排列修复向上突破继续关注向上趋势线,tonight非农数据,波动会比较大,一定要严格控制仓位风险。 ☆ ☆ 昨日表现强势的以太相关板块,今日均出现不同程度的走最小,如 OP,ARB,UNI 等,Kancun 升级相关的叙事基本拋作接近尾声,市场的整体热度逐渐开始降低,具体体现在波动率、deal量、持仓量的整体下降,对于后市的行情预期,如果没有持续的需求进入,行情整体以振荡为主,以太坊今年会超过 8000 美元或 10,000 美元,甚至更高。 比特币 ETF 使其获得了所有关注,但接下来 ETH 的利好更多,本月的 Dencun 升级将 L2 网络上的交易费用降低,这将增强网络活动,甚至吸引主流大众对以太坊的需求。 大多数积极情绪将在升级后的数周和数月内显现。 The cottage season officially struck after the big meal broke through the new high in history, and the altcoin began to explode. 目前山橋城场呈现板块轮动的特点,投资者应该抓住机会,持有未涨的币种,并灵活参与热门板块的交易。

In early trading today, both the BTC and Ether took a new position above, and in the long term, this is not the end, and there will be new highs in the future. In fact, for the current market, there are Long retail investors who cannot make money, especially those with fear of heights. Because, there is no trading target. There are new highs ahead, there is no reference price, if a list does not have a clear goal, it is impossible to hold. Goals give you confidence, confidence gives you execution, and execution determines survival. For spot investors, especially long term, I think we should not focus on short term price changes, but pay attention to the cycle and fundamental changes, the future Fed Intrerest Rate will definitely fall, and even return to the 0 Intrerest Rate era, when the market Liquidity must be better than now, the price is likely to be higher than now, but this time is uncertain, it may be this year or next year. Of course, long term holdings are dominated by mainstream tokens. ☆ ☆ ☆ Long BTC after the recent sideways shock adjustment in the early morning Long hair force broke through a new high, the highest touched 57160 line blocked fall, congratulations to friends who followed yesterday's ideas Long single profit, the current currency price is running around 55800, from the daily level, the BTC strong out of the four consecutive yang, the daily line in the retracement confirmation of support after the big yang reversal, the strength range is larger, the pattern is a wave unilateral upward signal, yesterday the big yang broke the shock range, the Bollinger band opening up, the middle track resistance gradually moved up, today first look at the continuation of the bulls. Combined with the four-hour point of view, the shock has ended, the four-hour level MA moving average glued upwards divergence, the K-line four Yang broke through Long pressure, the MACD Long head gradually increased the amount of double-line golden cross upward, the Bollinger band seriously opened, the excess ran out of the upper track, the short-term demand for retracement, do not chase the Long at the high point in the day, although the short-term stagflation still needs to pay attention to the strength of the pedal, it is expected that the Short will not be too large, the market still has the demand for the upside, the Short single try to do Short Term, after stepping back on the low Long, the upper suppression 57300-58300, the lower support 55000-55500 ☆ ☆ ☆ Ethereum yesterday Long stepped back near 3040 and did not fall below, just to give us Long single entry opportunities, and then the shock upward affected by the news Long pulled up to 3291 line blocked, the current currency price is running around 3220, from the overall structure of the four-hour wave type up, the overall retracement does not break the middle track, around the middle and upper rail range operation, the high point breaks and then breaks the low point and gradually moves up, 8 consecutive yang is to bring the Long mood into the climax, today's overall retracement does not break the middle track continues to see Long unchanged. The BTC structure has not changed, the range is shocking, the retracement will also be derived but combined with the previous move, the short-term pressure is near 3280, it is not expected to break through, the short-term trend has to step back on the demand for attention, the daily level of the market broken step upward trend is obvious, although the short-term obstruction but does not hinder the breakthrough of the market outlook, Bull Market do not want to guess the top, Short can only be Short Term to grab the callback otherwise it is easy to be trapped, the idea suggests that the low Long is mainly supplemented by high Short, the upper suppression of 3280-3350, the lower support of 3120-3160